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Beyond a shadow of a doubt: do five to six-year olds recognize a safe bet?

Boekbijdrage - Boekhoofdstuk Conferentiebijdrage

The present study investigated 5- to 6-year olds’ ability to distinguish a certain from an uncertain outcome when both were simultaneously presented in a probability game context. Three hundred and eighty-two children had to decide which of two boxes had the highest probability of blindly drawing a desired element. In five items, one box contained desired and undesired elements (uncertain outcome), while the other boxcontained only desired elements (certain outcome). The results showed that children within the same year of kindergarten strongly differed in their ability to distinguish a certain from an uncertain outcome. Age and sex were not predictive for these differences. Children’s performance on this task was predictive for their performance on a task about comparing probabilities of only uncertain outcomes.
Boek: Proceedings of the 43rd Conference of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education (Vol. 3)
Pagina's: 351 - 358
Aantal pagina's: 8
ISBN:978-0639821542
Jaar van publicatie:2019